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MAX
Scherzer
Hall of Fame Probability & HOF Score
Toronto Blue Jays·P·Age 41·19th Season
Last updated: May 30, 2026
HOF Score
66.8
/ 100
▲ +0 this season
SCORE Breakdown
5 DimensionsCareer Value30% weight
Milestone Progress25% weight
Awards & Selections20% weight
Peak Performance15% weight
Longevity10% weight
SCORE History
By Season1716
2617
3318
3819
4020
4421
4622
4723
4824
4925
4926
2016HOF Score by Season2026 ★ 49
WAR BY Season
2026
5 GP
2025
1.0
2024
1.4
2023
2.2
2022
3.6
2021
4.8
2020
2.4
2019
7.0
2018
6.8
MILESTONE Tracker
250 Pitcher Wins222 / 250
~2029 season
100 Career WAR76 / 100
2033 season
300 Pitcher Wins222 / 300
2033 season
HALL OF FAME Comparisons
At Age 41| Player | WAR | W | ERA | Awards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Max Scherzer Active · 2026 | 75.6 | 222 | 3.260 | 0× MVP |
Nolan Ryan HOF · At age 35 | 67.4 | 0 | 3.04 | 0× MVP |
Tony Gwynn HOF · At age 35 | 64.2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0× MVP |
Willie Mays HOF · At age 35 | 108.6 | 0 | 0.00 | 2× MVP |
Hank Aaron HOF · At age 35 | 107.4 | 0 | 0.00 | 1× MVP |
Derek Jeter HOF · At age 35 | 66.8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0× MVP |
Cal Ripken Jr HOF · At age 35 | 88.4 | 0 | 0.00 | 2× MVP |
Frank Robinson HOF · At age 35 | 98.8 | 0 | 0.00 | 2× MVP |
Mike Schmidt HOF · At age 35 | 97.6 | 0 | 0.00 | 3× MVP |
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THE Verdict
Will Max Scherzer make the Hall of Fame?
Scherzer's case sits in contested territory. The raw numbers are impressive but fall short of traditional HOF benchmarks. A sustained run of All-Star caliber seasons would shift the narrative significantly.
What is Max Scherzer's HOF Score?
Max Scherzer's current HOF Score is 66.8 out of 100, placing them in the “⚖ Borderline” tier. The score is calculated from 5 dimensions: Career Value (30%), Milestone Progress (25%), Awards & Selections (20%), Peak Performance (15%), and Longevity (10%).