✗ UnlikelyMERRILL
MERRILL
Kelly
Hall of Fame Probability & HOF Score
Arizona Diamondbacks·P·Age 37·8th Season
Last updated: July 21, 2026
HOF Score
20.3
/ 100
▲ +0 this season
SCORE Breakdown
5 DimensionsCareer Value30% weight
Milestone Progress25% weight
Awards & Selections20% weight
Peak Performance15% weight
Longevity10% weight
SCORE History
By Season919
920
1221
1522
1723
1824
1925
2026
2019HOF Score by Season2026 ★ 20
WAR BY Season
2026
17 GP
2025
22 GP
2024
13 GP
2023
30 GP
2022
33 GP
2021
27 GP
2020
5 GP
2019
32 GP
MILESTONE Tracker
100 Pitcher Wins72 / 100
2030 season
1,500 Strikeouts (P)973 / 1,500
2031 season
2,000 Strikeouts (P)973 / 2,000
2035 season
150 Pitcher Wins72 / 150
2035 season
40 Career WAR17 / 40
2038 season
HALL OF FAME Comparisons
At Age 37| Player | WAR | W | ERA | Awards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Merrill Kelly Active · 2026 | 16.8 | 72 | 3.890 | 0× MVP |
Nolan Ryan HOF · At age 35 | 67.4 | 0 | 3.04 | 0× MVP |
Tony Gwynn HOF · At age 35 | 64.2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0× MVP |
Willie Mays HOF · At age 35 | 108.6 | 0 | 0.00 | 2× MVP |
Hank Aaron HOF · At age 35 | 107.4 | 0 | 0.00 | 1× MVP |
Derek Jeter HOF · At age 35 | 66.8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0× MVP |
Cal Ripken Jr HOF · At age 35 | 88.4 | 0 | 0.00 | 2× MVP |
Frank Robinson HOF · At age 35 | 98.8 | 0 | 0.00 | 2× MVP |
Mike Schmidt HOF · At age 35 | 97.6 | 0 | 0.00 | 3× MVP |
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THE Verdict
Will Merrill Kelly make the Hall of Fame?
Kelly currently sits outside clear Hall of Fame consideration. An extended elite stretch — think multiple MVP-caliber seasons — would be needed to build a credible Cooperstown case.
What is Merrill Kelly's HOF Score?
Merrill Kelly's current HOF Score is 20.3 out of 100, placing them in the “✗ Unlikely” tier. The score is calculated from 5 dimensions: Career Value (30%), Milestone Progress (25%), Awards & Selections (20%), Peak Performance (15%), and Longevity (10%).